This
article is the first article in the
world, which is written in the meta-language. *
The main part
The world does not know how to save the economy
from the ongoing crisis, because people identify economics and money. But
monetary measures do not bring the desired result, and no one knows what to do.
Economic science has no logic theory of value
so far. Existing theories state that people are sharing something equal, but
this is absurd. Why do people have to share something equal with each other!? People
think that price and value are identical, because there is no theory of value as it is . But money has some- conventional
character, so no one knows what is the real value and the real value. That is
why economists act blindly.
Money - a convention, but the economic
processes are assessed only in monetary terms. What does it lead to? Imagine
that the cars go down the street and cast shadows on the wall. Imagine that
passersby catch those shadows on the wall to stop the car. Have you imagined? Economists
who use monetary measures to stop the crisis, are similar to those passersby.
It is true that monetary measures can have some
effect, because people identify economics and money. But the effect will be transitory.
If you pretend to throw a stick, a dog
will rush to it , but soon return. Economy reacts in a similar way to the
monetary measures. The economy always «comes back», if only to use the monetary
measures. Therefore, they can only be used to diminish or increase the regular
business cycles. Monetary measures can not lead out of crisis, and can be successfully
used only in conjunction with other measures.
We have to find the real purpose of development
- an absolute value. I believe that this value is freedom. Freedom is defined
by the number of opportunities and their probability. More opportunities – more
freedom. If all the states have the same probability, the freedom is - maximum. Freedom is the entropy. Therefore, the
purpose of development and progress - increasing freedom and entropy. Many
people believe that entropy is a measure
of chaos, but it is not true (Appendix).
Now let us create our own theory of value. Imagine that a person is in a forest during a drought. The
more he is thirsty the more energy will
be spend in search for water. The more
he will be focusing on the search for water, the less will be his freedom. And
when he finds or gets water, his entropy will increase. The magnitude of this
increase of entropy, which will be caused by obtaining water is the cost and value of water for the man at
that time. The more a man wants
something, the greater the entropy increases when he receives the desired.
Imagine the water exchange for bread. One man
wanted the water and the other - the bread before. Both increase their entropy by
the exchange. Thus, the result of fair exchange - an increase of entropy of all
parties involved. Consequently, the exchange is an increase of entropy. And entropy
and freedom are absolute value.
Schedule of supply and demand is the standard
way of the process of exchange. Sale and purchase are the exchange, too. Economists believe that the ideal point of the market is the equilibrium
point located at the intersection of lines of supply and demand. But what is that
point? It means that the seller would not sell for less, and the buyer would
not have to buy more expensive. Balance point - the point of least satisfaction
from the transaction for the seller and the buyer. The point of equilibrium is
the lowest point of the entropy, which is obtained by participants in the transaction. The point of
equilibrium is the worst point of the
market.
The market moves to its equilibrium point
gradually. It is below the line and above the demand and the supply line during
the movement. And buyers and sellers are more satisfied than at the equilibrium
point. Entropy is greater. So young and dynamic markets generate more entropy.
And the old markets, which are at the
equilibrium point - generate the minimum amount of entropy and, in fact, are
problematic.
If a market participant has sold the goods to
another party, and then bought anything for the money, then the deal can be
considered identical exchange. But it can take a lot of time between the
acquisition of money and goods for them. Therefore, a person can get the wrong
item, but not which he had hoped for. This
situation is a major problem of currency circulation. This situation can be
described as a normal exchange, but one participant completed the agreed
parameters, and the other – did not.. This
situation leads to a redistribution of wealth, resentment and breaking business
relations.
Such a situation arises because of
overestimation of the value of money and securities. People think that money
and securities have independent value and therefore are likely to be
overestimated. Therefore, a high concentration and the mobility of capital will
inevitably lead to crises. Amazingly, economists are struggling with these
crises through monetary measures. They try
to cure the disease by the same disease.
Such treatment is based on the theory of the
multiplier. I will illustrate two examples of the work of the multiplier. The first
example. All manufacturers have high demand
products, but no one can sell because no one has money. You buy
something from the first one for $ 100, he buys something from the second, the
second - from the third and so on. As a result, all the people solve their problems and give thanks to you
for $ 100. All people possessed marketable products, but no one had any money
to be exchanged. This situation is a fantasy in today's economy.
A second example. The producers have not demanded
products. Demand for these products has disappeared. But manufacturers are not
looking for new markets, they are waiting for customers. Their suppliers are
not looking for new markets, suppliers and vendors are not looking for new
markets. No one is looking for new markets, no one is selling. Crisis. You buy
a not claimed product for $ 100. Producers
pay their suppliers, suppliers are paying their suppliers. Your $ 100 helped all
again. But you have to pay all the time, for the crisis not to return. But you are
not helping producers to find new markets. Your help is painrelief, but not a
cure. After all, you will stop paying, and the producers will turn out to have lagged
behind the competitors despairingly . You gave them a disservice when bought
unclaimed goods. But many states do so during the crisis. A state places orders
or pays subsidies to enterprises for them to be able to work and not be
reconstructed. The state creates the appearance of victory over the crisis, but
the crisis is not defeated. The crisis becomes stronger, but monetary policy prevents
to see this. Monetary measures do not contribute to an increase in entropy,
because manufacturers are not looking for new markets.
Monetary measures impede to see a crisis, so they can be used to mask
the crisis. But the disguise is only useful if the state applies the measures
that increase entropy. The state should always contribute to the growth of
entropy. But the state has one more task - to save democracy, save democracy
from democracy. This problem is a major problem in the crisis. People vote for
the dictatorship, when they are paid less. Paradox. Democracy is killing
democracy in the crisis. Plato described in detail the transition from
democracy to tyranny. He believed this transition inevitable.
The state should mask the crisis to save
democracy from the people. First, the issue of money and inflation mask declining
incomes. Rising prices cause discontent, and loss of wages - the revolution. Therefore,
inflation reduces discontent. Therefore, it is very hard for Greece now Greece can not
reduce public dissatisfaction by inflation. Because Greece is in the eurozone.
Money issue can imperceptibly redistribute
income. The government can print a lot of money to pay it for some enterprises. Inflation will increase.
The real incomes of other businesses will decrease. Income will be distributed among enterprises, but it
will happen imperceptibly, and no one
will express dissatisfaction by redistribution.
What should the state do to overcome the crisis? The state should
take steps to increase the entropy and to preserve democracy. Entropy increases
when new markets are created. The state should support companies that create
new, successful markets, which enjoy higher profits. Paradox. The state should
support profitable companies. Old markets
should die. The state should redistribute income from the old markets to
new markets and should do it imperceptibly.
The state must soften people's discontent. Therefore, the state should
implement monetary creation and transfer money to the most profitable and
innovative enterprises.
The state should do what investors do in good
times. Investors invest in the most profitable
businesses and new industries. But investors are afraid to do it in a crisis. Investors
either invest in the company of another country, or buy real estate. State must
act as an investor and invest in the most cost-effective and innovative
enterprises. But the state does not have sufficient cash resources during the
crisis and there is the need to reduce the people's discontent. Therefore, the
state should fund the best companies by printing money. Money issue will
disguise transfers of unprofitable businesses to profitable businesses.
Profitable companies will expand their
production and increase the entropy. However, companies that will receive money
from the state, can reduce their effectiveness. Government grants can spoil enterprises.
Enterprises can "eataway" or steal money. How to resist it? State may
use different types of control, but they can be ineffective.
It must be remembered that the basic purpose of
development is entropy. The entropy of the economy is higher, the more new
markets, new services and new products are. People need to re-learn all the
time new skills, working principles for
the entropy to increase. So the state can pay for the education and training of
new staff at cost-effective and innovative enterprises. Company will be able to
hire and retrain them for free. The state will compensate these costs through money creation. Such
compensation should be very ambitious to re-educate more people and to create
inflation, which will smooth out the difficulties of this period.
It's simple. First, you need to help viable businesses
to expand. To do this, the state should arrange financial assistance to the
most cost-effective and innovative enterprises. Second, you must destroy unprofitable
enterprises. To do this, the state should not help the unprofitable enterprises.
Third, it is necessary to organise a
mass retraining of people. To do this,
the state should pay for training of new employees in the most cost-effective
and innovative enterprises. Fourth, it is necessary to reduce the population's
discontent and find the money to help cost-effective and innovative enterprises
and for retraining people. To do this, the state should issue money.
It's very simple, but all countries do the
opposite. States issue money, but do not
increase the entropy. States help unprofitable
enterprises and help to reduce incomes of profitable enterprises. States postpone
the struggle with crisis and aggravate
it .
Appendix
People think that the growth of entropy
inevitably leads to chaos. This i s false. This view is valid only in thermodynamics.
But entropy in thermodynamics is very specific.
This entropy characterizes the growth of possible states of the atoms, if the entropy
of the entire system is not increasing. Therefore, the maximum thermodynamic
entropy is characterized by the freedom and independence of each atom and a
minimum of freedom of the system. It's chaos. The system is fixed, if there is
chaos in it, but each atom has the
freedom of movement. The entire system can be in only one state, so the entropy
of the system is zero. But the entropy of each atom is high. It's chaos. This condition
is called heat death. Death is - entropy, which is zero. High entropy is the freedom and welfare, low entropy -
death. The progress has the goal, this goal is an increase of entropy at all levels.
It is necessary to separate different levels of the system, when we
analyze the entropy. Elements of the system can have higher entropy and the
system - low, and vice versa. There is a tendency in the inorganic world: the
entropy increases at low levels and decreases at a higher level. But the goal
of progress - an increase of entropy at all levels. Therefore evolution has
transmission mechanism of entropy from low level to a higher level. This mechanism
is life.
The behavior of a living mouse is more varied
and unpredictable than the "behavior" of a handful of molecules,
which is a mouse. One molecule can change the mouse behavior and changes at the
macro-level, if the molecule is changed and if it is in the nervous system of
the mouse. Life moves entropy at the macro level and transforms the earth.
Another "thermodynamic" misconcept is
that new connections and new structures obligatory decrease the entropy of the
elements, but it is not so. If new
connections create new opportunities, the entropy increases. A modern man is tied up by a large number of links, but he gets a lot of
new oppotunities. Therefore, the entropy of a modern man is greater than the
entropy of a savage.
* Meta-language is - a special structure of the
text, which is translated by an automatic translator without loss of meaning.
P.S. This article is a very small part of my new
economic theory. But this part should be enough to end up with the economic
crisis. J
I think you have left out power and influence from your idea. Especially the power and influence which successful business brings. There is a massive competition to beat everyone else and patent a growing opportunity. Being a shareholder is highly prized, of one of these companies. Finance very precisely calculates the value that has to be paid for partaking in investment. You have to go in early to actually invest at a discount and make a profit.
ОтветитьУдалитьGovernments are too far behind the entrepreneurs to take advantage, by which time the profits have already been made, and all investors are left with is the option to buy inflated stocks.
You idea completely leaves out a way of getting around this most important pressure. How can you get governments to beat the entrepreneurs, or beat the ownership rights out of them?
Good luck